What We Learned Week 11

Legarrette Blount was finally involved in the Bucs scheme again, posting 107 yards with a score. Mike Williams also had a fantasy worthy performance with 83 yards and a score. Kellen Winslow chipped in with 132 yards receiving in what was the first game you could be pleased with from all your Buccaneers. Even Josh Freeman had a decent day, finishing with 342 yards with 2 scores and 2 picks. Bottom line here is Blount would be the only one to trust until we see consistency. Raheem Morris should continue to give Blount a heavier load but Freeman and the pass game have struggled all season. Outside Blount, everyone else is high risk, high reward.

 

Jordy Nelson torched the Bucs for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns this week, making him one of the top receivers of the day. Nelson is a must start from here on out as he has passed Donald Driver on the depth chart and since Greg Jennings was hobbling towards the end of the game. James Starks left the game in the 4th with a knee sprain. He couldn’t put pressure on the leg and was helped off the field by trainers. Bump up the value of Ryan Grant if he misses time, if nothing else for the reason of goal line touches should they come. Grant has been a let down thus far, but makes a decent RB #2/Flex if you need help.

 

Donald Jones is expected to miss 3-6 weeks after injuring his ankle against the Dolphins. David Nelson  also seemed to injure his ankle again, but was at least available in the second half though not effective. Presuming Nelson is okay enough to play, bump both him and Chandler up in value. With Fitzpatrick struggling, he is looking shorter as of late and will look for his possession guys. Fred Jackson also missed most of the second half with a calf strain so his status is up in the air as well. While you must stay firm with Jackson, all your Bills are high risk plays until proven otherwise.

 

Matt Moore makes a solid waiver pick up if you need depth at QB. Moore has been on a role as of late and if nothing else gives you a reserve with great upside. Daniel Thomas had the better day rushing with 50 yards, but Reggie Bush still was the one to score. Both guys offer Flex value, but Bush is the one to trust bumping up as a RB #2 play every week.

 

The most sought after waiver claim will be Kevin Smith this week after he pounded the Panthers for 140 yards rushing, 61 receiving and 3 touchdowns. While he won’t post these kind of crazy numbers weekly, I do buy his overall performance. The one thing the Lions have been lacking without Best is the screen game and Smith provides that for them. All of Best’s value came from the pass/screen game and we were all high on him. Now, Smith not only provides that, but is also a much better runner. If you can get him, do so!

 

Deangelo Williams had the better performance rushing with 73 yards, but Jonathan Stewart still outscored him after catching 6 passes for 87 yards along with 22 rushing. Don’t buy into Williams performance but you can still trust Stewart as a low end #2 RB or Flex.

 

Darius Heyward-Bey suffered a spinal injury but was able to fly home with the team. It looks doubtful he will be available for at minimum a few weeks, and leaves Carson Palmer with limited options. Mike Bush added 109 rushing yards with a score and could see a very big role moving forward even when Darren McFadden returns. With the Raiders receivers dropping daily, expect the Raiders to stick with a very heavy run detail. Don’t be afraid to buy Bush low once word comes that McFadden is back this week. Time it right and you could get a steal.

 

Adrian Peterson suffered and ankle injury Sunday and initial XRays show no breaks. He was unable to return, and remember he suffered a minor sprain last week but played through it. This may be a significant one but keep tabs through the week to confirm. If he does miss time, focus on Percy Harvin who will not only be Ponder’s top target, but tote the ball a few carries as well.

 

Laurent Robinson did it again this week, catching a touchdown pass on 34 yards receiving.  Felix Jones made his return with minimal results, finishing with only 22 total yards. He only had 5 rushing touches compared to Murray’s 25, but don’t be scared off quite yet. The limited carries could have been just as a caution to work him in slowly and Jerry Jones really likes him. He should see more touches next week when we can make a better evaluation of him.

 

Matt Hasselbeck suffered a sprained elbow, allowing Jake Locker take over who was much more effective, tossing 2 touchdown passes to Nate Washington. Munchak quickly dispelled any doubts by naming Hasselbeck the starter as long as he is healthy so don’t chase down Locker quite yet unless Hasselbeck is your starter. Chris Johnson took a big step back with only 28 total yards, but keep in mind Atlanta is a very good run defense and has been keeping opposing backs at bay. He will continue to be a big part of the game plan and does have value moving forward as a low end #2 RB.

 

If he is still available make sure Earl Bennett is a top pick up if you are short at WR. Bennett now has three straight solid games and is clearly Cutler’s top target. I was high on getting him last week so hopefully you took the leap of faith and grabbed him then. If not, do so now. I would not buy into Johnny Knox performance since he is still the #4 option in this offense. If Jay Cutler rumors are confirmed, negate everything above. Cutler is rumored by Chicago beat writers to be out for 6 weeks with a broken thumb. Check Monday for updates.

 

Buy Chris Ogbonnaya’s performance, especially in keeper/dynasty leagues. Given the fact Peyton Hillis is in no rush to test his hammy and will most likely not return next year, Ogbonnaya now has 2 straight 100+ total yard performances.

 

Get ready to unload John Skelton after a miserable performance against the 49ers. While I believe Skelton has proven to be the better passer right now, Kevin Kolb is nearing full health and will most likely be back next week.


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