PASS PASS PASS

As Scott J Pachman so eloquently wrote “balls to the wall” is a good approach to have. At least you can tell yourself you left it all on the “fantasy field.” Where I differ with the self proclaimed expert is the way in which you execute this strategy. One must understand coaches and philosophies. Some coaches RUN some coaches PASS and some coaches can’t help themselves and PASS MORE. I have a tendency to focus on the PASS MORE coaches.

 A great example of the PASS more approach is Andy Reid, Sean Payton, Norv Turner, Jim Caldwell, Mike McCarthy, and Josh McDaniels. I’m the wide receiver guy and I’ll tell you straight up that I will role with any of their top 2 WRs. Look at the names: Deshawn Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Marques Colston,  Robert Meachem, Vincent Jackson, Malcolm Floyd, Pierre Garcon, Reggie Wayne, Greg Jennings, Donald Driver  and ex-Brandon Marshall. So if you are going to make a big trade to “go all in” it better be at least one of those receivers. The only exception to this rule is Andre Johnson. His coach is a nut ball and hard to predict. That being said I will always go to war with AJ. His fantasy potential is too great. That can no longer be said for a Larry Fitzgerald. Poor Fitz is stuck with sub-par QB play. Whisenhunt is smart enough to realize that and change his philosophy to go RUN first. Beanie Wells fans- rejoice!!

 Why did I go on a rant about coaches and WRs?  Because trading for big name WRs only works when you get the right players. Getting the #1 WR on Tennessee, San Fran, Miami, and Buffalo will do you no favors in fantasy play. The obvious reason? #1 WRs on run first teams are at best as good as a #2/3 WR on a PASS first team like the Eagles, Saints, Colts, Chargers, and Broncos. Going after a Boldin or Crabtree won’t get you the elusive fantasy football trophy. So trade for the WR that is on a PASS first team. People will jump up and down and say but Brandon Marshall is now on Miami. I still say Miami is a run first team. I’m leery on Marshall and I will avoid him on draft day. His surgery will cause him to delay making that “connection” with Chad Henne. Marshall may still be AJ like but I think he may start slow.

 This is the year of WR sleeper opportunity. You may be able to hedge your bets and make an educated gamble. In a sense avoiding Scott’s full on frontal approach. Marshall is no longer on a pass first team and VJax is going to be suspended for 4 games. This gives fantasy players opportunity in the late rounds for players like Legedu Naanee (3rd WR in SD). With Vjax suspended he will play a role in the SD offense (at least early on). Demayrius Thomas is the “heir apparent” but I have serious doubts as to his abilities. This opens the door for Jabar Gaffney, Eric Decker, and possibly Brandon Stokely to be scooped up in the late rounds. Meachem came on strong at the end for the Saints but Henderson and Moore may have value in 2010. Henderson is coming off a sports hernia repair. If he recovers as slow as other athletes Moore and Meachem (the M&M’s) will have added value.

 So if you are a gun shy type there is still hope for you. Play it smart and hedge your bets and draft sleeper WRs on PASS FIRST teams. If you are going to make a BIG trade to go “over the top” mid season make sure your prize WR is on a PASS first team! – flukie out!


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