Keeper League Draft

So I had my first draft of the year. It was nice to get this one out of the way early. Plus, it gave me the opportunity to talk football in May. My favorite past time!

So the rookies went as I expected. The only rookies that were left on the board were: Armanti Edwards, Carlton Mitchell, and Marcus Easley. All WRs and all projects. They have no value in 2010 and doubtful in 2011.  There were still some players of value after the draft and I spent the better part of today researching and picking up those players. I’ll break down the players I grabbed and the reason why they are worth a roster spot in deep keeper leagues.

1. Jason Campbell QB OAK. A perfect backup on just about any team (including redraft leagues). He will be in the top 15 QBs this year and he has some receivers that have upside – Louis Murphy and Chaz Schillens. Add to that a legit TE in Zach Miller and Campbell will be effective. Dare I say Oakland goes 8-8 this year? Campbell is the perfect bye week fill-in and he is undervalued in just about every website I read.

2. Mike Thomas WR JAX – He put up 453 yards, 48 receptions, and 1 TD in 2009. He will do more of the same in 2010. He is a #2 WR on a run first MJD team. There are durability concerns with a 5’8 198lbs frame but if you can look past that he is a viable bye-week / injury replacement WR. Besides MSW there are no other WRs on JAX. They signed Kasim Osgood from SD in the off season but they have already figured out he is only valuable as a special teams player. JAX didn’t draft any WRs so by default Thomas will be lining up across from MSW. Since JAX is a below average team they will be forced to throw the ball to attempt to get back into games. Thomas is a classic example of a player that will have stats gathered during garbage time.

3. Bernard Berrian WR MIN – The fact he wasn’t taken in a keeper league is a shocker to me. I scooped him right up. Even with his slow start and Harvin and Rice’s improvement he still managed 618 yards, 55 catches, and 4 TDs.  Favre is coming back and as long as he is under center Berrian is startable if you are week at WR. I plan on rotating his fantasy playing time with Santana Moss, Pierre Garcon, Donald Driver  in 2010. 

4. Chaz Schilens WR OAK – I actually didn’t pick him off waivers. I traded away Taylor Price to obtain Schilens. Price is the 5th WR on NE. Price may have value but not in 2010. He is a long term hold in keeper leagues. Whereas Schilens is a deep sleeper and has value this year. That is of course if his foot holds up and Campbell plays well. Schilens is on most websites sleeper lists.

5. Torry Holt WR NE – Ole’ Man Holt might have one year left in him mainly because of circumstance. Wes Welker may not be ready for the start of the season. Holt isn’t going to be the slot receiver. That honor is still Welker’s. Edelman will step in for Welker until he is ready. Both Holt and Moss are 33 though Holt is an OLD 33. Brady has a good track record with old receivers so that bodes well for Holt. Holt managed 722 yards, 51 receptions, and a goose egg for TDs. Though career lows they aren’t bad considering Garrad was throwing to him. Holt will line up opposite of Moss and will see single coverage as Moss draws all the doubles. This is the IDEAL environment for Holt. I will be bold with this prediction but I feel Holt will be a low WR2 in fantasy play this year. He may even get into my starting lineup depending on match ups in 2010.

6. Earl Bennett WR CHI – He was on my sleeper list in 2009. He was a disappointment. Lets hope 2010 will be his redemption. With Mike Martz as the new offensive coordinator this might just occur. Bennett put up 717 yards, 54 receptions, and 2 TDs in ’09. Bottom line is NO ONE knows who the breakout WRs are going to be in Chicago this year. With Martz anything is possible. Since I am a creature of habit and refuse to believe that Bennett is a bust I gave him a roster spot.

7.  Eric Decker WR DEN – I also have Jabar Gaffney and I am debating picking up Brandon Stokley. I drafted Decker as a long term sleeper in this keeper league. I don’t think he will contribute in 2010. The problem in Denver is that THERE is a HUGE hole to fill with the loss of Marshall and I have no clue who will fill it. The national media thinks Demaryius Thomas will fill this void but I have serious concerns with his game. From what I hear he has the dropsies and has trouble running routes. Decker is in the mold of Welker and we all know how McDaniels used Welker. Decker has upside in 2011. As for 2010 your guess is as good as mine as to which receiver has relevance. Smart money is on Gaffney and Royal though Thomas may surprise me.

Honorable mention goes to Devery Henderson (coming off a sports hernia operation) and Lance Moore. Someone on NO will continue to shine I’m just not sure who it is going to be.

So this was my waiver wire grabs in this keeper league. I will return to my draft strategies and sleeper picks later this week.

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